Series 50: Credit Risk And Ratings

Taken from our Series 50 Online Guide

Credit Risk and Ratings

The three types of credit risk are:

1.Default risk

2.Credit spread risk

3.Credit deterioration risk

Default risk is the risk that the issuer will fail to meet its periodic payment obligations in a timely manner. In other words, it is the risk that the issuer will default on the bond. It is generally measured and monitored by the credit rating agencies Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s, and Fitch. Higher ratings mean higher marketability. Bonds with high credit quality have more liquidity because they fit more investors’ profiles. Banks and insurance companies are often required to invest only in securities that are rated investment grade (BBB or better).

Credit spread risk is the risk of a thin secondary market for the bond. A wide spread between the bid and ask price indicates that a security’s marketability is weak. If you own a security and wish to sell it, a wide spread means you may not sell it quickly or get the price you think the security deserves.

Credit deterioration risk is the risk of a credit downgrade. Small entities are often more vulnerable to credit deterioration than larger ones. Municipalities that are a sole provider or offer essential services may be less vulnerable to a downgrade than those whose projects face competition or whose products are vulnerable to the business cycle.

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SUMMARY

Factors that Affect Marketability

Issuer name

Name recognition broadens the market for bonds

Source of funds

GO bonds are less risky & more marketable than revenue bonds

Unlimited tax bonds are less risky than limited tax bonds

Sinking fund

Money set aside in an escrow account assures investors of repayment, increases marketabili